The upcoming 2024 Presidential election is one of the most important elections in American history. There is a great deal of tension, as the American public is extremely divided on major issues, such as the border and abortion rights. American voters, especially those in swing states, will decide who will lead the country for the next four years. Either Donald Trump will be elected for a nonconsecutive 2nd term, or Kamala Harris will become the first woman President of the United States. This article will discuss the swing states, and predict where they will go, and as such, who will win the Presidency.
The Rust Belt is one of the most important collections of states that are a mix of Democrat and Republican states. The Rust Belt consists of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. These three specific states are swing states, which means they can swing between parties in elections and, as such, influence the result of the election. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin have a combined electoral vote count of 44. Winning any one of these states would be enough for a candidate to win the election. However, it is most likely that Harris will just barely win these three states.
Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona were once lean Republican states. However, in recent years, these states have become swing states. In 2020, Biden won Georgia, the first time a democrat won it since Bill Clinton in 1992. The last time a Republican won Nevada was in 2004, when George W. Bush won it. North Carolina and Arizona have swung very much between Democrat and Republican candidates. It is likely that Trump will win Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona, while Harris will win Nevada, as Nevada has been leaning toward the Democrats for 20 years now.
Due to these predictions, it is assumed that the final electoral vote outcome will be 276-262, with the majority for Harris.